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Fiverr Pro
Nederlands
$
USD
I will build demand forecasting and inventory planning models in python
AI Automation and Data Analytics Specialist
Hi, I'm Ayesha, an AI Automation & Data Analytics Specialist. I help businesses automate workflows, streamline operations, and turn data into actionable insights. My expertise includes n8n automation,...
Over deze dienst
Stockouts cost you sales. Overstocking costs you cash. The fix is a demand forecast tied to an inventory policy not a guess tied to last month's spreadsheet.
I will build you a Python demand forecasting model using Prophet and ARIMA that does not stop at a chart. It tells you exactly when to reorder, how much buffer stock to hold, and which SKUs are at risk right now.
My Average models achieve 5.62% MAPE and 0.925 R² on real retail data, which means that the forecast was 94% accurate!
WHAT YOU GET:
- Demand forecast using Prophet and/or ARIMA (best model selected for your data)
- Accuracy metrics: MAPE so you know how reliable the forecast is
- Confidence intervals not just a single-line guess
- Trend and seasonality decomposition see what is driving your demand
- Reorder Point (ROP): the exact stock level that triggers a new order
- Safety Stock calculation: buffer to protect against demand spikes
- EOQ (Economic Order Quantity): optimal order size to minimise costs (Premium)
- Inventory action table: SKU | Forecast | ROP | Safety Stock | Status | Action
- Jupyter notebook fully runnable code
- Premium: Business PDF report with actionable insights
Unsure? Feel free to message!
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What data do you need for sales forecasting?
I typically need historical sales data in Excel, CSV, or similar formats. The more historical data available, the more reliable the forecast can be.
Will I receive charts and visualizations with the forecast?
Yes. Every forecast includes professional charts and visualizations to help you understand trends, seasonality, and future projections.
Can you forecast demand, revenue, or inventory requirements?
Yes. I can create forecasting models for sales, demand, revenue, inventory planning, and other business-related metrics.
Can you explain the forecast results?
Absolutely. I provide clear business insights and explanations so you can understand the results and make informed decisions.
Should I contact you before placing an order?
Not mandatory. If it is feasible, please message me before ordering so I can review your dataset and recommend the most suitable package.
Will you provide business insights report?
Yes. Standard and Premium packages include a full PDF report, while basic package contains insights provided in the python notebook itself.
What's the difference between Prophet and ARIMA?
Prophet is excellent at capturing seasonality, and trend changes, ideal for business sales data with weekly or annual patterns. ARIMA is a classical statistical model that works well for smoother, more stationary data. I run both and select the one with the best accuracy metrics for your data.
